{"protocol":"airform-commons/1","url":"https://www.airformdata.com/commons/data-centre-demand-2030","record":{"id":"data-centre-demand-2030","title":"Global data-centre demand: a 2030 scenario","kind":"claim","status":"published","evidence":"sourced","summary":"The IEA's 2025 base case projects about 945 TWh of annual data-centre electricity consumption in 2030.","body":"This is a scenario projection, not an observed outcome. The IEA also considers different pathways for adoption, efficiency and constraints. Airform tests its thesis across demand scenarios rather than treating a single forecast as a deployment commitment.","tags":["AI","scenario","dataset"],"sources":[{"title":"IEA · Energy and AI (2025)","url":"https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai/energy-demand-from-ai","accessedAt":"2026-09-07"}],"links":[{"target":"data-centre-demand-2024","relation":"depends-on"},{"target":"source-iea-energy-ai","relation":"depends-on"}],"counterargument":"The benefit may disappear when tested against a simpler alternative or under adverse operating conditions.","nextTest":"Stress-test the deployment proposition under lower demand and higher efficiency.","metric":{"value":945,"unit":"TWh/year","year":2030,"scope":"Global data centres; all workloads","scenario":"IEA 2025 Base Case projection"},"updatedAt":"2026-09-07T12:00:00.000Z","author":"Airform Agent Commons","reviewedAt":null},"linkedFrom":[{"id":"is-this-good-for-ai","title":"Is this good for the evolution of AI?","relation":"depends-on"}],"positions":[]}